Hoffy
Pilot Officer
Posts: 48
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Post by Hoffy on Feb 14, 2018 20:56:51 GMT 12
www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/in-maiden-speech-jim-molan-warns-of-china-war-risk-calls-for-defence-boost-20180214-p4z0cq.htmlThis article was published in the Sydney Morning Herald. I'm certainly no expert , but it seems to me that to make a real difference it will take much more than $34.7 billion dollars per year. We shall see. I certainly don't believe that the Chinese are trying to start armed conflict with the US , but with recent developments in the South China Sea I can understand why this has potential to escalate to that point. I think China holds about $1.1 trillion US dollars in US government bonds - second only to Japan so I can't understand how this interlocked economic investment would unravel if things got really messy. Necessity is the mother of invention.
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Post by madmac on Feb 14, 2018 22:49:38 GMT 12
It depends the PRC has to fight half the world across land, sea, cyber, air & space, for OZ and NZ to counter China there is no requirement for a balanced more (no land bridge), ditch most of the army & get 40% more budget. We shall see. I certainly don't believe that the Chinese are trying to start armed conflict with the US , but with recent developments in the South China Sea I can understand why this has potential to escalate to that point. I think China holds about $1.1 trillion US dollars in US government bonds - second only to Japan so I can't understand how this interlocked economic investment would unravel if things got really messy. Not forget that compared to what we are lead to believe the PRC economy is comparatively tiny (the same size as Japan & Oz combined) the power comes from their low population costs however that comes from the the continued existence of 800 million poor (we hear about the attempts to sale stuff to the other 200 million). The risk to the party associated with this social divide is reflected in the fact that the PRC internal security budget is twice the defense budget (both of which are likely larger than reported). Companies within the PRC economy holds very large quantities of foreign debt, not insufficient sums of which is likely to default causing much internal destabilization, of which one way out (no easy money policy out for this) is to blame a foreign nation and then conduct successful military operations against said county (so likely not the US, maybe NK or some other poor sucker in the middle, hopefully not the bottom of the south pacific). Then what is the question |
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Post by kiwithrottlejockey on Feb 15, 2018 14:03:35 GMT 12
If it came to all-out war between the USA and China, I imagine one of the first things China would do to try and even the odds would be to use their satellite-busting missiles to try and take down as many American military satellites as they could.
And when it comes to military technology, the U.S.A has been trying to develop electro-magnetic naval guns for years but has run into all sorts of failures. However, an article published a week or two ago in one of the American newspapers I subscribe to (I cannot recall whether it was The New York Times, or The Washington Post, or perhaps in the Los Angeles Times) described two new Chinese warships which appear to be equipped with electro-magnetic naval guns, and the articles implied that the Chinese have perfected the technology. If this is true, it would put the U.S. Navy's aircraft carriers in grave danger in any naval conflict with China.
However, I'd be more worried about Donald Trump's proposed budget which, if it is passed, is going to add multiple trillions of dollars to America's federal debt. And that could potentially turn the USA into a giant financial ponzi scheme, which could ultimately collapse.
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